Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.141149 0.160436 0.181762 0.207154 0.236645 0.269911 0.310411
2026-02-08 0.108831 0.134146 0.164833 0.205044 0.256748 0.321532 0.409694
2026-02-15 0.090003 0.117383 0.152793 0.202497 0.271349 0.364666 0.502961
2026-02-22 0.079601 0.108641 0.148219 0.207010 0.293681 0.419250 0.619593
2026-03-01 0.069665 0.098651 0.139886 0.204071 0.303759 0.456603 0.716508
2026-03-08 0.062667 0.091678 0.134547 0.204139 0.317459 0.500480 0.830736
2026-03-15 0.056945 0.085757 0.129805 0.204075 0.330345 0.544304 0.952427
2026-03-22 0.053161 0.082281 0.128260 0.208654 0.351155 0.604202 1.114148
2026-03-29 0.049610 0.078721 0.126059 0.211643 0.369335 0.661943 1.283209
2026-04-05 0.046449 0.075421 0.123841 0.214163 0.386783 0.720793 1.466575
2026-04-12 0.044036 0.073103 0.122983 0.218901 0.408898 0.792078 1.691840
2026-04-19 0.041253 0.069851 0.120103 0.219426 0.422687 0.848504 1.896251
2026-04-26 0.038543 0.066528 0.116850 0.219030 0.434977 0.904829 2.116672
2026-05-03 0.035852 0.062998 0.112877 0.216750 0.443061 0.953566 2.331395
2026-05-10 0.033393 0.059671 0.108941 0.214033 0.449736 1.000179 2.552654
2026-05-17 0.032045 0.058308 0.108642 0.218839 0.473978 1.093073 2.927204
2026-05-24 0.029963 0.055341 0.104875 0.215709 0.479268 1.139884 3.181171
2026-05-31 0.028398 0.053256 0.102685 0.215781 0.492237 1.208937 3.523580
2026-06-07 0.026954 0.051290 0.100550 0.215713 0.504844 1.279493 3.892755
2026-06-14 0.026069 0.050385 0.100553 0.220589 0.530809 1.392384 4.442132
2026-06-21 0.025099 0.049219 0.099882 0.223773 0.552855 1.498706 5.005766
2026-06-28 0.024154 0.048030 0.099048 0.226459 0.574009 1.606992 5.616741
2026-07-05 0.023450 0.047297 0.099157 0.231506 0.602616 1.744906 6.398704